Super Bowl Props!
Why not roll the dice a few times???
If you’ll recall, I gave out my Super Bowl play last week, taking New England +4.5. I still like that a lot. In fact, there hasn’t been a larger Super Bowl spread in 16 years(!!).
Also, I think the total is pretty fair here. I don’t see much value on a play either way, though if forced, I’d lean very slightly to the over. That brings us to…
Live Bets!
There are a few situations I want to highlight here. One, regarding the total, is that:
If the total drops below 42, take the live over
If the total climbs to as high as 52, take the live under
That’s a ten point window where this game is likely to land, in my opinion.
The ideal live total scenario is a low scoring 1H followed by a higher scoring 2H, because that meshes well with a recent trend in CCGs and Super Bowls:
The halftime underdog covers the 2H spread 64% of the time
Consider placing a spread bet on the losing team at halftime.
Prop Bets!
These are just for fun! Tail them, fade them, drop your own plays in the comments. Good luck!
Heads
Seahawks to win coin toss
1st play of game is a rush
Drake Maye o35.5 rushing yards
Kayshon Boutte longest rec o17.5
Kenneth Walker u20 rushes
Sam Darnold longest completion u35.5
Seahawks by 1-3 points +460