Another down week for the Single Leg Parlay crowd. Better than last week, but still very bad at 7-15. I pivoted to unders and went 0-4. Maybe I should just stick to spreads.
Even after an abysmal two weeks, we’re still 81-58 on the season, a healthy 58.27% and +15.71u. So we can’t be too down on ourselves.
Consensus bets went 2-4 last week. Four plays this week.
I’m going to stop saying we’ll turn things around because it keeps leading to bad outcomes. So here are this week’s plays:
DEN at NO
CONSENSUS! It’s Thursday Night Football which means Al and Matt are on the DEN/NO u37.5. Danny is also on NO +2 vs DEN.
NE at JAX
CONSENSUS! This one’s in London. Again. Al and Danny are on NE +5.5, +6.5 at JAX. Al is also taking the NE TT o17.5.
SEA at ATL
Al’s on SEA +3 at ATL.
HOU at GB
CONSENSUS! Al and Danny are taking GB -2.5 vs HOU.
MIA at IND
Matt’s taking the Dolphins and the points here, MIA +3.5 at IND.
DET at MIN
Here, Matt likes a shootout. He’s on DET/MIN o49.5.
CAR at WAS
I’m trying my hand at one more high total under this week. After going 0-4 on them last week, I can’t go out like that. CAR/WAS u52.5.
SF at KC
Al and Danny are on opposite sides here. Al’s taking SF -1.5 at KC while Danny’s on KC +1 vs SF. I think the Chiefs are quasi-fraudulent. They aren’t 5-0 good. They’re 3-2 good.
NYJ at PIT
Danny has a pair of plays for you here. PIT +1.5 vs NYJ and the NYJ/PIT u38. Apparently he is not a believer in Davonte Adams coming in and solving this Jets offense’s woes. Hopefully no halftime Hail Marys to bail out Rodgers and the Jets here.
FUN FACT: The Steelers will be facing Adams for the second time in as many weeks as they just played the Raiders last week, so this defense ought to be pretty well prepared for the resurgence of that Rodgers/Adams combo.
BAL at TB
CONSENSUS! Danny and Matt are on the Bucs here, TB +3.5 vs BAL. Baker at home on MNF. Should be exciting!
LAC at ARI
And the last play of the week is in the other Monday Night Football game that no one will be watching, Al’s on ARI +2.5 vs LAC.
Wong Teasers
If you’re unfamiliar with a Wong teaser, or teasers in general, check out the explainer in this post.
Here are the Wong teaser legs this week: DET +2.5, NO +2.5, HOU +2.5, WAS -8, KC +1.5, PIT +1.5, ARI +2.5.
Beyond those, here are some teams with lines moving toward the Wong range: MIA +3, SEA +3, NYG +3, BUF -9, LAR -7
I really like some of these legs. I think I’ll put together all combos of DET +8.5, NO +8.5, HOU +8.5, and WAS -2. That’s 6 bets in total.
Full slate of picks below:
Al
Season record: (28-18, +7.48u)
DEN/NO u37.5, NE +6.5, NE TT o17.5, SEA +3, GB -2.5, CAR/WAS u52.5, SF -1.5, ARI +2.5
Andy
Season record: (18-19, -2.62u)
None.
Chris
Season record: (4-3, +0.64u)
None.
Danny
Season record: (17-13-1, +2.47u)
NO +2, NE +5.5, GB -2.5, KC +1, PIT +1.5, NYJ/PIT u38, TB +3.5
Matt
Season record: (14-5-1, +7.74u)
DEN/NO u37.5, MIA +3.5, DET/MIN o49.5, TB +3.5