Al's Super Bowl Plays

And some bullshittin'

Super Bowl Sunday is still more than a week away and we’re left in that weird football dead zone where the season is essentially over and teams are jettisoning coaches across the league, scouting players for the draft, churning out mock draft after mock draft while there is still one more (real) game left to be played (apologies to the Pro Bowl).

What’s the deal with branding and no one being able to even say Super Bowl? Everything is “the Big Game” or whatever. I know it has to do with promotions and profiting off another company’s branding but I hate it. Everyone knows what you mean! Anyway, NFL goons, please leave me alone.

I’m sure as *THE BIG GAME* approaches, I’ll probably put out some fun prop bets just for fun for you all to tag along on. For instance, I typically bet the national anthem over/under (though in recent years, the practice sessions have been leaked, scrapping the bet by the big day), the coin toss, maybe the color of the gatorade, etc. I might even whip up some player props I like too. But first, let’s recap Conference Championship Week.

CCG Recap

I gave out two plays last week, and as has become a trend in the postseason, they split. New England failed to cover in what became a second half blizzard. Naturally, I feel like they would have covered easily without the snow, but I guess we’ll never know! The Rams and Seahawks sailed over. Should’ve bet racks on that one.

My numbers leaned Seattle and I ended up betting on them as well, so I came out ahead, even if you didn’t. Sorry about that! I gotta have some action ykwim???

Super Bowl Plays

Just one play here.

NE +4.5

*in my absolute best Borat voice* My numbers(!) have this one at New England -3.5 and the total at 46. While I don’t like the Pats to win outright, 4.5 points feels like way too much for a matchup between great offenses and great defenses. Both of these teams’ units (haha, units) rank in the top 5 in most metrics. Idk, maybe I made that up, but the stats I look at have both offenses and both defenses highly ranked.

I think the line is where it’s at because the Pats have played two underwhelming games offensively which just so happened to be against two of the best defenses in the league and one of which happened in a blizzard for 30 minutes. Kind of tough sledding there.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks seem inevitable. Also, I like the Seahawks and while I contend that if this exact Patriots team had a different logo and colors, they’d be a fan favorite, I also am sick as shit of seeing them be successful. Making the Super Bowl is good enough. The Hawks can take it home though. That’s a much more fun story *to me*, and that’s what’s important.

So Pats to cover, Seahawks to win. That’s what I’m pulling for.

If you were forcing me to pick a side on the total, I’d lean very slightly to the over. When factoring in Red Zone performance, the total should be closer to 48.5, but including that metric in my projections is still a work in progress.

Let me know if you have any player props or game bets you like! I tend to spray the board for the Super Bowl.

One Last Thing!

If you’ve found these write-ups enjoyable and/or profitable, please share with a pal or two! Would love to get our subscribers up over a hundred, especially since there’s likely to be a little downtime over the next two or three months.

We may have something for March Madness, and Aussie Rules Football kicks off in March, but I may not have any plays there until April.

Thanks for tagging along!