Al's NFL Week 15 Plays
Hope you bet those overs!
So I gave out five plays last week. Three of them covered easily, one fell apart at halftime, and the other fell short late. 3-2. That moves us to 70-70-4 on the year. Stinky!
But! There’s a big but here.
I had ten overs I liked but since they were all overs, I thought maybe my numbers weren’t quite dialed in well enough. Well guess how those ten overs did?
They went 9-1.
We got a little help on the Denver over with the inexplicable last second FG which both hit the over and got the Raiders to cover, and then in the MNF game, we got on the total early and hit that one by the hook in OT.
Maybe my numbers are good? Who can say.
NFL Plays
Atlanta +4.5
Chargers +4.5
New England +1.5
BUF/NE u50.5
Las Vegas +11.5
LV/PHI o38.5
Arizona +10
Indianapolis +13.5
IND/SEA o42.5
Minnesota +6
Miami +3
MIA/PIT o42.5
CLE/CHI o40.5
WAS/NYG o47.5
DET/LAR u55.5
15 plays this week. I thought about pulling the Colts spread and total, but it’s such a big spread and the Colts are in crunch time, so why not leave it and see if they show some life? Feel free to leave those two off if you want.
NFL Futures Check-In
Just a short thought evaluating the likelihood of each of our midseason win total bets hitting at this point.
PHI o12.5 - LOSS
KC o10.5 - LOSS
IND o11.5 - Life support.
TB o10.5 - Life support.
GB u10.5 - Life support.
MIA u6.5 - Life support.
CIN u5.5 - Feels real bad.
DET o10.5 - Maybe? Hopefully?
NO o4.5 - Maybe. Feels good.
ARI u5.5 - Likely.
HOU o8.5 - Just one more win gets this one home.
BAL u9.5 - Just one more loss gets this one home.
So the way things stand, it’s looking like 5-7 at best currently. Houston and Baltimore are both +130 or better, which helps.