Al's NFL Week 11 Plays
The band plays on...
Two weeks ago, I managed to finally dig out from the hole I dug to start the season. After some particularly square weeks got us dug in pretty good, we got back in the black.
Last week, we went 8-5-2, pushing on the Colts and the Giants. If you got better numbers, bully for you. If you got worse numbers, sorry. That’s why I try to send these out earlier in the week before the lines move too much.
This is a good spot to point out that I generally give out the best number available at a common book, or the most common line available. If you’re able to shop for a better line at the same price, I highly recommend doing so. I do not recommend buying a better line.
So if I give you a play at -7, that’s assuming -110 odds. If you can find a book offering -6.5 at -110 odds, bet it there. If you find a book offering -6.5 at -115 or -120, it’s better to bet the -7 at -110 odds. I hope that clears things up. Let me know if you have any questions in the comments!
On the season, we’re now 49-44-2.
Here are this week’s plays, now that we’re heating up!
NFL Plays
Here are my favorite plays this week:
Washington +2.5
Carolina +3.5
Minnesota -3
Jacksonville +3
Cleveland +7.5
And here are the rest of this week’s plays:
New England -12.5
Buffalo -5.5
Houston -6.5
Green Bay -7
GB/NYG o42.5
Pittsburgh -5.5
LAC/JAX o43.5
Seattle +3
Arizona +3
SF/ARI u48.5
1H Under 24.5s
The 1H under 24.5s went 1-2 last week.
These are 12-8 since I’ve been tracking them, which is really good for a -110 bet, but most of these are paying a little more juice to get this number. I think we’re still a couple units up playing these, but I should probably try to figure out the exact gains.
Here are this week’s best options:
CHI/MIN u24.5 -115
CIN/PIT u24.5 -120
TB/BUF u24.5 -120
SEA/LAR u24.5 -120
SF/ARI u24.5 -130
DAL/LV u24.5 -110
You may be able to shop these around multiple books to find better odds.
That’s it for this week! Good luck with your action!