AFL Round 5
Great start.
You may be wondering why we’ve got a bird pic as our lead image today. That’s a magpie. The same magpie that burned us this past week, and the same magpie we’re backing again this week as our top play.
I gave seven official plays last week and those went 5-2. Good for you for tailing me. You’re a very smart boy.
Collingwood happened to be without the best player in the sport, and while that doesn’t explain the entirety of their 54 point drubbing they took, it certainly ended up being important to our chances.
Nick Daicos has been done in by his hammy. I have no idea what his status looks like for this week and I imagine most of the training staff in Collingwood don’t have that answer yet either.
Let’s recap the rest of the plays last week, shall we?
Essendon easily covered the +70.5, Melbourne won outright, as did North Melbourne, and Geelong almost pulled out the W, easily covering their +10.5 spread. We split on the two totals I gave you, easily sailing under in Richmond/Port Adelaide, and then getting done in almost exclusively by Sydney as they contributed 163 points toward the 181.5 total.
I suggested maybe throwing some money on Collingwood and Geelong moneylines and they both lost. I had a couple of leans on a pair of totals and those split as well. That’s why these aren’t official plays I guess!
This week is the Gather Round, where all teams travel to Adelaide to play. Sounds like a really fun week. Five matches will be played at the Adelaide Oval over 4 days, while two smaller venues each host a pair. I haven’t looked into it, but I wonder if taking the under in the fourth or fifth match at the Adelaide Oval might be a good idea, given that the field ought to be beat up pretty good by then. Those matches are Hawthorn/Western and the last match of the week Port Adelaide/St. Kilda, in case you want to test it out.
Here are this week’s plays.
AFL Plays of the Week
Carlton +32.5 at Adelaide
Collingwood +10.5 vs Fremantle
Essendon +26.5 vs Melbourne
Gold Coast +2.5 at Sydney
Port Adelaide +6.5 vs St. Kilda
Many of the totals for matches this week aren’t out yet, so I don’t have any totals for you this week. If you’re looking to throw a little extra scratch around, I thought about taking North Melbourne +34.5, Western +7.5, and Richmond +34.5 as well as The GWS/Richmond over 180.5 and the Essendon/Melbourne under 189.5.
There are a few moneyline spots I like here as well: Collingwood +145, Western +120, and Port Adelaide +120.
Again, just the plays up top are graded. These are just for fun. Let me know if you tailed last week and if you have any questions, leave a comment!