AFL Round 19
4-8 last week.
Ok, I had to go back to the drawing board this week.
I’m now 60-62 on the season, down 9.83 units on the season.
Stinky!
I’m not any better than a coin flip!
So, I tweaked some things. I’ve done some back testing. I’ve built a confidence model complete with unit recommendations. Join me, won’t you, as I take this newest-and-improvedest model for a spin?
AFL Plays of the Week
Geelong -11.5 vs St. Kilda - 6.1u
Melbourne -14.5 at North Melbourne - 5.3u
Geelong/Melbourne ML parlay +120 - 2u
West Coast/Brisbane o169.5 - 2.9u
Gold Coast/Western u170.5 - 1.4u
5 plays, 20.06 units risked to win 18.1 units.
I like these plays! They also conflict somewhat with my recent numbers!
I’d recommend being conservative with your unit size here, like, VERY conservative. Let’s see if this bears out some fruit over the next month or two so we can roll it into next season.
Another added bonus is that I was able to automate a lot of this and backfill a ton of missing historical data, so this should be easier AND better.
Good luck!