AFL Round 14

Is coming down to Earth a bad thing?

Photo by NASA on Unsplash

Last week, I hit full send on the slate and gave out plays for just about every match in an effort to test my latest system, fully expecting at least some backslide. And backslide it did!

But here’s the thing. We still went 5-4 on plays. The system went 5-3 ATS, and the totals went 2-1 in a week where I think every match went under (rainy weather played its part). That’s still good! So if every week from here on out falls somewhere between last week and the previous weeks, we’ll be in a great spot running into football season.

The lone downer of the week was GWS -350 losing outright to Port Adelaide. We had them parlayed with Sydney in the first step of our ML parlay, so despite all the other sides doing their part and winning outright, we came up emptyhanded. It happens.

On to this week!

Test Run #4

Here’s what the money printing machine spit out for us this week:

Adelaide +0.5 at Hawthorn
Geelong -28.5 at Essendon
Fremantle -31.5 at North Melbourne
Carlton -25.5 at West Coast

That’s it. Totals aren’t out yet for the week, save for the first couple matches, and I don’t like anything there enough to play it.

If I like anything once the totals come out, I’ll drop the plays in the comments below!

ML Parlay Lock of the Week

Let’s see if we can add to our winnings a little bit…

2 leg parlay at -128:
Western -325, Brisbane -275

Step up to +205:
Geelong -500, Fremantle -600, Carlton -450

Step up to +470:
Adelaide -115

I’d suggest betting enough on the first step to cover whatever you bet on the subsequent steps. Something like 0.26u on the first step, then 0.1u on each of the other two steps.

Good luck!