AFL Again!

Did you enjoy your first week of Aussie Rules plays?

Photo by Joey Csunyo on Unsplash

We had seven plays in total last week in a tiered pick system I’ve developed. The good tiers did good. The bad tier did bad. Choose to do with this information what you will!

Tier 1 went 2-0 including the +180 ML play on Port Adelaide. Excellent!

Tier 2 went 0-2.

Tier 3 went 2-1.

All said, even if you tailed the tier 2 picks, you went 4-3 and should’ve been up about 0.73u or 1.53u depending on how you bet the ML. I typically bet to win 1u on the ML.

Let’s see what’s in store for this week:

Tier 1 Picks (5-2)

Hawthorn -56.5 vs West Coast

Tier 2 Picks (3-8)

Essendon +29.5 at Collingwood

Carlton +11.5 vs Geelong (Carlton is a ML play this week at +155)

Tier 3 Picks (11-5)

Western +12.5 at GWS

Sydney +10.5 at Gold Coast

I like Carlton on the ML here, even though it’s a tier 2 play and those have been pretty bad this year. Maybe adjust your units accordingly, or lay off of it. The Blues are coming off a pair of dominating wins after a slow start while the Geelong Cats have won their last two matches in gritty performances. Asking them to do it again here might be too big of an ask.

Essendon against the Magpies feels like a prayer. Not sure that one will come home. The only other note is that Sydney is not the same team under new coach Dean Cox that they’ve been their past several seasons and last year Gold Coast were 9-3 at home and 2-9 on the road. This year, they’ve won their only home game so far, and are 3-1 on the road. Might be tough sledding for the Sydney Swans.

Anyway, those are the plays. Let’s make some money again this week!